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Old 12-26-2015, 12:13 PM   Topic Starter
pugsnotdrugs19 pugsnotdrugs19 is offline
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WalterFootball is at it again with the Chiefs
Good ol' Walter is back on the hate train with the Chiefs for yet another consecutive week. At this point, I almost want him to continue to shit on our rep as we continue to prove all of his nonsense wrong. Read below as this week Walter suggests that because we get turnovers 'handed to us', we will beat the Browns by a score of 19-13.....




KANSAS CITY OFFENSE: I don't want to hear anything about Alex Smith playing well because Andy Reid could've utilized the Bobby Boucher offense the past few weeks and had success with it. The Chiefs have battled three teams that either couldn't score or gave the game away with turnovers in as many weeks. The Raiders were driving to go up nine or 13 before Derek Carr fired a barrage of pick-sixes; the Chargers posted just three points, though they dropped a ball that would've sent the game to overtime; and Baltimore handed Kansas City four gift touchdowns on penalties or turnovers.

Smith dinked and dunked to his heart's desire last week, coming away from the game with just one solid drive despite battling a horrible pass defense. The Browns aren't any better in that regard, as Doug Baldwin and Tyler Lockett roasted them this past Sunday, but Smith won't exactly attack Cleveland downfield like Russell Wilson did.

The Browns don't stop the run well either, however, so Charcandrick West and Spencer Ware figure to trample them, at least on paper. Ware is expected to return, so West's poor fantasy owners will have to turn elsewhere. Regardless, the two should combine to post a massive yardage amount, but only if guard Jeff Allen suits up. Allen has been missing recently, and while many don't know who he is, he's been Kansas City's top blocker. Also, Travis Kelce is considered questionable, so his absence would be huge.

CLEVELAND OFFENSE: Johnny Manziel's competence has been quite the surprise. Ever since returning to the field following his drunken escapades, Manziel has been very effective. He beat the 49ers, which wasn't a huge deal, but he was able to keep his team around versus the Seahawks and their tough defense, which was impressive.

If Manziel was able to perform well at Seattle, why can't he do so at Kansas City? Justin Houston is still out, so the opportunity will be there for Manziel. He'll hook up with Gary Barnidge quite often, as the blossoming tight end has proven to be unstoppable.

Running the ball could be problematic, however. The last time the Chiefs surrendered 100-plus yards on the ground was back in Week 7, and the Browns don't exactly have the talented backs to overcome this.

RECAP: This spread is way too high. The Chiefs haven't done crap in the past four weeks to warrant such a line. They defeated the Ravens by 20, but Baltimore handed them that game on a silver platter with a personal foul penalty, a Buck Allen strip-six, a fake punt from its own 17-yard line and a pick-six when the receiver fell down. The Chargers nearly sent their game to overtime. The Raiders self-destructed when it appeared as though they were going to take control of the contest. In fact, the last convincing victory Kansas City had was back in Week 12 when they beat the Bills, 30-22, but that's looking less and less impressive, as Buffalo has suffered consecutive defeats to NFC East teams since.

Moving forward, the Chiefs are expected to win against a team that has nothing to lose, so this has "choke job" written all over it. In fact, I wouldn't be surprised if Kansas City lost this one straight up. The Browns, who have been way more competitive lately, should at least cover against a team that is suddenly banged up.

I'm listing this as a two-unit wager for now. I don't want to go crazy with a 3-11 squad, but I'll be pretty surprised if the Chiefs win in a blowout.

WEDNESDAY NOTES: A commenter below pointed out that I've gotten a bunch of Kansas City picks wrong. I think I've been on the right side of the past three Chiefs selections, but bad luck allowed the other teams to cover. I'm pretty confident in this selection, and I was thinking about moving this up to three units.


The Psychology. Edge: None.
No edge found.


The Vegas. Edge: Browns.
A ton of money on the host.
Percentage of money on Kansas City: 82% (2,000 bets)


The Trends. Edge: .
Opening Line: Chiefs -13.
Opening Total: 44.
Weather: .


Week 16 NFL Pick: Chiefs 19, Browns 13
Browns +12.5 (2 Units)
Under 43 (0 Units)
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Old 12-26-2015, 12:20 PM   #2
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Old 12-26-2015, 12:21 PM   #3
BigMeatballDave BigMeatballDave is offline
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I think some Chiefs fans gang raped his wife.
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Old 12-26-2015, 12:36 PM   #4
Donger Donger is offline
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Originally Posted by BigMeatballDave View Post


I think some Chiefs fans gang raped his wife.
And she enjoyed it.
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Old 12-26-2015, 10:09 PM   #5
alanm alanm is offline
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Originally Posted by BigMeatballDave View Post


I think some Chiefs fans gang raped his wife.
Wife???? I think he got dumped by his boyfriend.
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Old 12-26-2015, 12:23 PM   #6
Rausch Rausch is offline
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The heart of this team is the defense and the defense is banged up. It's no wonder the team isn't clobbering the opponent.

Quote:
The Psychology. Edge: None.
No edge found.
Clearly.

Because why would a team on an 8 game winning streak, playing at home, with the playoffs on the line have any kind of psychological edge?...
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Old 12-26-2015, 12:27 PM   #7
NJChiefsFan NJChiefsFan is offline
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Originally Posted by Rausch View Post
The heart of this team is the defense and the defense is banged up. It's no wonder the team isn't clobbering the opponent.



Clearly.

Because why would a team on an 8 game winning streak, playing at home, with the playoffs on the line have any kind of psychological edge?...
Yeah I could understand the argument of taking the points and the Browns, but comments like the one you quoted shows he has an agenda at this point to eventually be proven right about KC. He has a pushed his chips into the center of the table, not unlike a few people here.
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Old 12-26-2015, 12:32 PM   #8
Rausch Rausch is offline
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Originally Posted by NJChiefsFan View Post
Yeah I could understand the argument of taking the points and the Browns, but comments like the one you quoted shows he has an agenda at this point to eventually be proven right about KC. He has a pushed his chips into the center of the table, not unlike a few people here.
It's a stupid position to take.

Even if he's right this week it doesn't change him being wrong about the previous 4.
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Old 12-26-2015, 12:39 PM   #9
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Originally Posted by Rausch View Post
It's a stupid position to take.

Even if he's right this week it doesn't change him being wrong about the previous 4.
I agree. Being right here doesn't necessarily mean anything about previous games. He seems all in at this point, rational or not.
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Old 12-26-2015, 01:13 PM   #10
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It's a stupid position to take.

Even if he's right this week it doesn't change him being wrong about the previous 4.
Read his Wednesday notes. He was actually right the last three times, but bad luck intervened. I'm sure the payout windows in Vegas understood that reasoning and paid all his followers.
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Old 12-26-2015, 12:28 PM   #11
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Old 12-26-2015, 03:25 PM   #12
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Alex Boucher

I honestly can't wait for the Chiefs to extend Alex Smith again just to hear more of your whining.
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Old 12-26-2015, 05:09 PM   #13
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I honestly can't wait for the Chiefs to extend Alex Smith again just to hear more of your whining.
Im sure they will. Seats are being filled, banners arent flying, team suicide rate is down. Clark doesnt want that boat rocked.
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Old 12-26-2015, 05:10 PM   #14
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Im sure they will. Seats are being filled, banners arent flying, team suicide rate is down. Clark doesnt want that boat rocked.

Yeah.... I mean winning is awful thing....
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Old 12-26-2015, 05:12 PM   #15
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Yeah.... I mean winning is awful thing....
Yeah. We have been down this winning road many times..... it is the next step that matters.
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